Maritime foreseeability intelligence that's verifiable, reproducible, and built to be challenged.
What was objectively knowable at the time decisions were made.
A real reconstruction showing how official attribution compares to contemporaneous ERA5 reanalysis data. Every finding can be independently verified.
Risk assessment: "Manageable" (implied)
Gust factor 3.0× · Cross wind/tide · Poor visibility
Official risk assessment understated actual conditions. ERA5 reanalysis data reveals gust amplification, adverse wind-tide interaction, and reduced visibility — none documented in the official record. 100% risk doesn't mean 'certain harm.' It means no safety margin remained, based on what was knowable at the time.
Key Insight:
Official record noted 25-30 kt sustained wind and called it "Manageable" — but missed the dangerous gust factor (3.0×), cross wind/tide interaction, and poor visibility that ERA5 reveals. Those undocumented factors pushed real risk to 100%.
Live Warnings for operational decisions. Reconstructions for legal and insurance proceedings. Both built on verifiable, reproducible methodology.
Thresholded risk signals and time-bounded exposure windows, updated every 30 minutes. Know what's coming before you commit to a transit.
Reduce blind decisions with evidence grounded in real conditions.
Cryptographically-verified analysis of environmental conditions at a specific location and time. What was knowable when the decision was made.
Most failures aren't unforeseeable. They're undocumented.
Every reconstruction is designed to withstand independent scrutiny. Verifiable by any qualified party.
FishIntel reports are designed to be court-usable precisely because they stop at evidence. Liability is a legal conclusion, we provide the factual substrate on which courts rely.
Anyone with ERA5 access can independently verify our findings using the same coordinates and timestamps.
Blockchain hashes prove when each analysis was created — impossible to backdate or alter.
Full methodology disclosure. No black boxes. Every assumption documented and defensible.
From single incident analysis to enterprise fleet coverage. Scoped to your requirements.
Claims, litigation, or insurer-grade engagements are scoped separately. Contact us for bespoke requirements.
Whether you're investigating an incident, defending a claim, or assessing operational risk — begin with evidence.